A research and consulting firm, SnowWhite Consulting, based in the United Kingdom has projected that President Muhammadu Buhari will be victorious in the forthcoming presidential election in the oil-rich Nigeria. This was made known by the Director of Communication and Strategy, Mr. Adeola Jegede at a press release yesterday at its London office.
According to Jegede, “February 16, 2019 is another date with destiny in Nigerian political landscape as various political parties present their candidates as well as manifestoes to the electorates to make rightful choice on who will lead the global most populous black nation for the next four years”.
“The firm observes that the race will be between the ruling party, All Progressive Congress (APC) and the People Democratic Party (PDP) with President Muhammadu Buhari and former Vice President Atiku Abubakar as their respective candidates”.
Jegede reiterates that the stakes in Nigeria electioneering process are high both locally and internationally, evidenced by powerful voices clamouring for free, fair, transparent and credible electioneering exercise in Nigeria.
The firm’s spokesperson stated that the presidential election results projection is based on various variables that could determine how the electorates tend to cast their votes.
“Our research survey identified among other factors: historical voting pattern, performance of incumbent president, existence of political structure spread, personality of each candidate, availability of sufficient campaign funding, followership’s loyalty, internal party stability and coordination, as well as power of incumbency as part of variables that determine the how Nigeria electorates may cast their ballots. Other considerations are party’s strategy disposition, voting capacity by each state measured by PVC collection rate, and general support base”, he stated.
According to Jegede, the poll survey projects that the total number of votes to be cast on February 16, 2019 presidential election tends to hover around 33.65 million, of which the APC presidential candidate, President Muhammadu Buhari, expected to secure around 19.2 million votes representing 58.2% of total ballot cast, while main opposition PDP candidate, Alhaji Atiku Abubakar projected to get up to 13.9 million votes representing 41.3% and the rest would secure just little above half a million votes, accounting for 5% of the likely total vote cast across the country.
The details of the projection are further stated below:
|Projection For Overall Results|
|Candidate||Party||Votes||No of States won|
|Muhammadu Buhari||APC||58.2%||26 (Including FCT)|
|Projection of State By State Victory|
|Projection By Geopolitical Zones|
|Projection By Winning Vote Position|
“Our projection for the Nigeria presidential election was based on ±5% margin of error” he confirmed.
“There are quite numbers of undecided voters, but we observed that they are unlikely to change their minds to vote for any candidate during the presidential election”, the statement concluded.